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China's yuan up on suspected intervention, set for August loss

China's yuan up on suspected intervention, set for August loss

China's yuan firmed on Monday after the central bank set a stronger guidance rate while it also appeared to continue using state-owned banks to support the Chinese currency, traders said.

For August, the currency is set to depreciate 2.7 percent if it closes at the midday level. Most of the losses came after the People's Bank of China (PBOC) surprised markets by devaluing the yuan by nearly 2 percent on Aug. 11.

"Major state-owned banks bought a large amount of yuan this morning," said a trader at an Asian bank in Shanghai.

These banks were suspected of intervening on behalf of the central bank around 6.38 against the dollar, several traders said.

The PBOC set the midpoint rate CNY=SAEC at 6.3893 per dollar prior to market open, 0.15 percent firmer than the previous fix 6.3986.

The spot market CNY=CFXS opened at 6.3890 per dollar and was changing hands at 6.3805 at midday, 0.13 percent stronger than the previous close.

After the abrupt devaluation on Aug. 11, Beijing appears to have been so surprised by the global reaction that it tends to keep the yuan on a tight leash to head off a currency war that could spark a broader financial crisis, policy insiders say.

Premier Li Keqiang reiterated at the weekend earlier remarks that there's no basis for continued depreciation of the yuan following its devaluation.

The yuan "will stay basically stable as a reasonable and balanced level," he said. Most market watchers, however, believe there is political pressure for it to weaken further to support exports and reflecting expectations of further policy easing.

The offshore yuan CNH=D3 was trading 1.03 percent weaker than the onshore spot at 6.4469 per dollar by midday.

Offshore one-year non-deliverable forwards contracts CNY1YNDFOR=, considered the best available proxy for forward-looking market expectations of the yuan's value, traded at 6.6075, or 3.30 percent weaker than Monday's midpoint.

original source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/31/us-markets-china-yuan-midday-idUSKCN0R009L20150831

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